Concept

Borrower intent data

The signal that a specific company is likely to seek debt financing soon. How it differs from horizontal B2B intent, and what triggers actually count.

Definition

Borrower intent data is structured data signalling that a specific company is likely to seek debt financing in the near term, derived from observable trigger events. It is a vertical sibling of horizontal B2B intent data (Bombora, 6sense) but focused on a single commercial action — needing capital — rather than topical interest in general.

What it isn't

Borrower intent is not:

  • A guarantee that a company will borrow — only that the prior probability is materially elevated relative to a random comparable company
  • The same as "buyer intent" in horizontal B2B (which tracks reading behaviour across publisher networks)
  • A consent signal — borrower intent is observed externally, not declared

The trigger taxonomy

The strongest borrower-intent triggers, ordered roughly by signal quality:

  1. Recent incorporation (≤ 90 days). The single highest-density signal in UK SME lending. New companies typically explore working-capital options inside their first quarter.
  2. Hiring surge (e.g. 30%+ headcount growth in a quarter). Indicates revenue acceleration that often outpaces cash flow.
  3. Loss of a major customer. Signals working-capital pressure; trickier to detect from public data.
  4. Director changes. New CEOs/CFOs frequently audit and restructure financing in their first 60 days.
  5. Charges filed. Indicates existing secured borrowings — both a positive credit signal (they're bankable) and a refinancing-pursuit signal.
  6. Trademark or patent filings. Often precede growth-stage capital raises.
  7. Change of registered office to a larger premises.

How borrower intent differs from horizontal B2B intent

Horizontal B2B intent platforms (Bombora, 6sense, G2) aggregate topical content consumption — articles read, search terms used, software reviewed — into broad interest signals like "this company is researching CRM tools". The platforms are excellent for SaaS sales teams, but the signal is several abstraction layers away from a transaction.

Borrower intent data is targeted at a specific commercial action and uses concrete event triggers, not reading behaviour. The signal-to-noise is much higher, but the volume is lower and the channel is verticalised.

Sources of borrower intent in the UK

  • Companies House — incorporations, director changes, charges, addresses (the primary source)
  • Job board scraping — hiring surge detection
  • Intellectual Property Office — trademark and patent filings
  • Open Banking data (with consent) — direct cash-flow signals (highest quality, hardest to obtain)

Operational implications

Two facts matter operationally:

  1. Freshness decays fast. Leads contacted within 7 days of a trigger convert at roughly 3× the rate of leads at 30 days. Beyond 60 days, the channel approaches the conversion rate of generic cold lists.
  2. Hooks must reference the trigger. A generic "we lend to SMEs" outreach to a borrower-intent lead wastes the freshness. The outreach must reference the trigger ("we work with construction companies in their first 90 days — typical working-capital needs are £30–80k").

Related


Frequently asked

How is borrower intent data different from horizontal B2B intent (Bombora, 6sense)?

Horizontal B2B intent tracks topical reading behaviour. Borrower intent targets a specific commercial action (needing capital) using concrete trigger events (incorporation, hiring, charges, director changes).

What trigger events count as borrower-intent signals?

Recent incorporation, hiring surges, large customer churn, director changes, charges filed, trademark filings, and office-size changes.

How fresh does borrower intent data need to be to convert?

Conversion drops sharply after 30 days. Leads contacted within 7 days convert at roughly 3× the rate of leads contacted at 30 days.